Ukraine’s Drone Strike on Russia Aims to Change Putin’s Calculus

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news analysis

Kyiv’s attack on the country’s bomber fleet appeared designed to show Russia’s leader that continuing the war carries big risks for Moscow.

President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia sits behind a table with a microphone.
President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, seen here in an image released by Russian state media in May, has not yet publicly commented on Ukraine’s weekend operation.Credit...Grigory Sysoyev/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Paul Sonne

June 3, 2025Updated 8:14 a.m. ET

President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia for months has portrayed his forces as nearing victory in Ukraine.

He has suggested that he has little reason to agree to a cease-fire, seeing as Russian forces are advancing on the battlefield and are prepared to fight for the duration. He has cheered Russia’s recapture of its western Kursk region from Ukraine. And he has said, that when it comes to Ukrainian troops, Moscow has reason to believe “we are set to finish them off.”

Kyiv, over the weekend, offered its retort.

Ukraine carried out one of the most audacious attacks of the war, smuggling drones deep into the Russian heartland and launching them from semi-trucks. It destroyed or damaged at least a dozen aircraft, including many of Moscow’s nuclear-capable strategic bombers, on runways in Siberia and Russia’s Far North.

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Ukraine launched one of its broadest assaults of the war against air bases inside Russia, targeting sites from eastern Siberia to Russia’s western border.CreditCredit...Anatolii Stepanov/Reuters

Sunday’s assault, carried out on the eve of the latest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, appeared designed to send a clear message to Mr. Putin: Continuing the war still poses serious risks for Moscow, even if Ukraine is no longer able to advance on the battlefield.

“It’s all about trying to convince the Russians — whether it will succeed, I don’t know — that there is a reason now for them to negotiate seriously,” said James M. Acton, co-director of the nuclear policy program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.


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