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On a dusty piece of land south of Bangkok, a flashlight factory stands full of promise. Workers hunch over tables gluing components. But only half the land has been built. Parts of the factory stand empty, waiting for future production lines.
The factory is owned by a Chinese manufacturer that makes flashlights for American customers. When President Trump’s tariffs on China hit 145 percent last year, companies embarked on a panicked search for cheaper alternatives in countries like Vietnam and Thailand, including this facility.
But since then, U.S. tariffs on China have come down sharply, leaving the leaders of some of those same companies with second thoughts.
“Have we pulled back to China? Yes, we have,” said Phil Laster, the chief operations officer of Alliance Consumer Group, a Texas-based company that sells flashlights made in the Thai factory to U.S. customers. Mr. Laster had encouraged the Chinese manufacturer, Ningbo Bright Electric, to build a factory outside China to make his products, but he is hitting the brakes on the strategy now that U.S. duties on Chinese goods are more comparable to those on products from Thailand.
One of the most surprising outcomes from a whiplash year of tariffs may be that China has emerged in a position of relative strength, with significantly lower tariffs than last year. The Trump administration last week imposed a new tariff rate on Chinese exports of 12.5 percent, similar to rates for dozens of other countries, as it works to resurrect the tariffs struck down in February by the Supreme Court.
Chinese exports are still subject to other duties, including from Mr. Trump’s first term, and more tariffs could be on the way. But many industry executives and analysts speculate that the Trump administration will keep future tariffs on China relatively restrained to try to stabilize a rocky relationship.
